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AIDS FACTS
in Sub-Saharan Africa
The
following figures were reported in a fact sheet released July
2 by the Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS).
HIV/AIDS
marks a severe development crisis in Sub-Saharan Africa, the
worst-affected region in the world. Even if exceptionally effective
prevention, treatment and care programmes take hold immediately,
the scale of the epidemic means that the human and socioeconomic
toll will remain massive for many generations.
- 93%
of all children with HIV/AIDS live in Sub-Saharan Africa.
- 430,000
children died of AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa in 1997.
- By
the end of the year 2000, a cumulative total of 13 million
children -- the majority in Africa, will have lost one of
both parents to AIDS.
- Approximately
3.5 million Africans became infected in 2001, bringing the
total number of adults and children living with HIV/AIDS in
this region to 28.5 million. The estimated number of children
orphaned by AIDS living in the region is 11 million.
- Some
2.2 million Africans died of AIDS in 2001. It is projected
that, between 2000 and 2020, 55 million Africans will die
earlier than they would have in the absence of AIDS. (These
projections are based on the assumption that prevention, treatment
and care programmes will have a modest effect on the growth
and impact of the epidemic in the next two decades.)
An
increasingly heavy toll
- The
epidemic's toll continues to mount, even in countries already
experiencing very high HIV prevalence rates. The number of
AIDS-related deaths among young adults in South Africa, for
example, is expected to peak in 2010-2015, when it is estimated
that there will be more than 17 times as many deaths among
persons aged 15-34 as there would have been without AIDS.
- At
least 10% of those aged 15-49 are infected in 12 African countries.
Seven countries, all in southern Africa, now have prevalence
rates higher than 20%: Botswana (38.8%), Lesotho (31%), Namibia
(22.5%), South Africa (20.1%), Swaziland (33.4%), Zambia (21.5%)
and Zimbabwe (33.7%).
- About
11 million African children alive at the end of 2001 had lost
one or both parents to AIDS. Close to a million children younger
than 15 years have been orphaned by AIDS in Ethiopia and in
Nigeria. In South Africa, an estimated 660,000 children have
been orphaned by AIDS.
- Women
account for the majority of persons living with HIV in Sub-Saharan
Africa (58%). Young women, in particular, have consistently
been found to have higher prevalence rates than men in the
same age group. (In Kisumu, Kenya, for example, in 1998, the
prevalence of HIV infection among women aged 15-29 was 23%,
while, in young men, it was 3.5%).
No
"natural limit"
- There
was hope that southern Africa's epidemic -- the most severe
in the world -- had reached its 'natural limit', beyond which
HIV prevalence rates would not rise. New data show that this
is not the case, however. In Botswana, median HIV prevalence
among pregnant women in urban areas rose from 38.5% in 1997
to 44.9% in 2001, while, in Zimbabwe, it climbed from 29%
in 1997 to 35% in 2000. Prevalence rates are even higher among
specific age groups -- as high as 55.6% among 25-29-year-old
women attending antenatal clinics in urban areas of Botswana.
- In
west and central Africa, new data confirm how suddenly the
epidemic can explode. In Cameroon's urban areas, HIV prevalence
rose from 2% in 1988 to 4.7% in 1996. But HIV surveillance
for 2000 found national prevalence rates of 11% among pregnant
women. The highest HIV prevalence rates were found among young
people -- 11.5% among 15-19-year-old pregnant women and 12.2%
among those aged 20-24 -- an indication that this may be the
beginning of an ongoing, steep rise.
- These
data raise strong concerns about the course of the epidemic
in other countries -- for example, Nigeria, the most populous
country in Sub-Saharan Africa (with 117 million people). Until
recently, Nigeria's national prevalence rates remained relatively
low (as was the case for neighbouring Cameroon), although
growing slowly from 1.9% in 1993 to 5.8% in 2001. But some
states in Nigeria are already experiencing HIV prevalence
rates as high as those now found in Cameroon. Already, 3.5
million Nigerians are estimated to be living with HIV/AIDS.
- Uganda
remains the only country to have subdued a major HIV/AIDS
epidemic, with the adult HIV prevalence rate continuing to
drop -- from 8.3% at the end of 1999 to 5% at the end of 2001.
Huge challenges persist, however, such as taking care of the
880,000 Ugandan children who have been orphaned by AIDS.
- There
are some signs that Zambia could eventually match Uganda's
success. HIV prevalence among 15-29-year-old urban women declined
from 28.3% in 1996 to 24.1% in 1999. A similar decline was
noted among rural women aged 15-24, where prevalence fell
from 16.1% to 12.2% in the same period. But, like other countries
in the region, Zambia has a long way to go before bringing
the epidemic under control: national adult prevalence was
21.5% at the end of 2001.
- Even
though one-in-nine South Africans (about 5 million) are living
with HIV/AIDS, the country's large-scale prevention programmes
(including information campaigns and condom distribution efforts)
appear to be bearing fruit. In recent surveys, approximately
55% of sexually active teenage girls reported they always
used condoms during sex.
Conflict
zones
- The rise of HIV prevalence in conflict zones is a growing
concern, as the massive displacement of people and the disruption
of social and governance systems increases the population's
vulnerability. In Angola, for instance, the prevalence rates
of pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in the capital
of Luanda climbed from 1.2% in 1995 to 8.6% in 2001.
- There is cause to fear a similar trend in the Great Lakes
region. While war and other hindrances make accurate surveillance
data collection there difficult, the massive displacement
of people, and the disruption of social and governance systems
are worsening the vulnerability of huge numbers of people.
An upward trend such as that now evident in parts of Angola
cannot be ruled out in, for example, Burundi, the Democratic
Republic of Congo and Rwanda.
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